D Beyondtwoorthreedays,theworld’sbestweatherforecastsaredoubtful,andbeyondsixorseventheyareworthless. TheButterflyEffectisthereason.Forsmallpiecesofweather—toaglobalforecaster,smallcanmeanthunder—stormsandblizzards(暴风雪)—anypredictionbecomesworserapidly.Errorsanduncertaintiesincrease,fromdustdevilsandstormsuptocontinent-sizeeddies(旋涡)thatonlysatellitescansee. Themodernweathermodelsworkwithnet-likepointssixtymilesapart,andevenso,somestartingdatahavetobeguessed,sincegroundstationsandsatellitescannotseeeverywhere.Butsupposetheearthcouldbecoveredwithsensorsplacedonefootapart,risingatone-footintervalsallthewaytothetopoftheatmosphere.Supposeeverysensorgivesperfectlyaccuratereadingsoftemperature,pressure,humidity(温度),andanyotherdataaweathermanwouldwant.Exactlyatnoonapowerfulcomputertakesallthedataandcalculateswhatwillhappenateachpointat12.01,then12.02,then12.03…thecomputerwillstillbeunabletopredictwhetherPrincetonwillhavesunorrainonemonthaway.Atnoonthespacesbetweenthesensorswillhidefluctuations(波动)thatthecomputerwillnotknowabout.By12.01,thosefluctuationswillalreadyhavecreatedsmallerrorsonefootaway.Soontheerrorswillhaveaddedtotheten-footscale,andsoonuptothesizeoftheglobe. 63.Aweatherforecast____________intheworld. A.isreliablewithinoneortwodays B.isdoubtfulbeyond24hours C.becomesuselessbeyondtwoorthreedays D.isstillworthwhileinsevendays 64.Usuallythereisaweathersub-station____________. A.ineverycityB.every60miles C.betweentwocities D.everyonefoot 65.Whichofthefollowingstatementsistrue? A.Peoplehavenotplacedsensorsonefootapartintheatmosphere. B.Scientistshavealreadyputsensorsonefootapartintheworld. C.Everysensorgivesperfectlyaccuratedataaweathermanwants. D.Groundweatherstationsandsatellitescanseeeveryplaceonearth. 66.Ourcomputerwillnotbeabletoknowaboutfluctuationsbecause____________. A.thesensorsarenotgoodenough B.theyarehiddenbythespacesbetweenthesensors C.they 田梅回答:
小题1:A小题2:B小题3:A小题4:B
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